PHI Forecast


Bullish Case: PLDT’s consistent strategic initiatives, particularly in digitalization and capex reduction, coupled with its recent profitability surge and historical likelihood of positive returns for short-term holdings, support a potential near-term upside.


Bearish Case: Persistent macroeconomic pressures, intense competition, and historical data revealing higher loss probability for longer-term holdings, indicate a potential risk of further stock depreciation.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Growth from Digico success and strategic shifts (45%).

2. Stagnation due to macro factors and mean reversion (35%).

3. Decline from intensifying competition and strategic missteps (20%).


Trading Oracle: Trade short-term bullish debit spreads. Given improved fundamentals, near-term recovery signs, and low volatility, target 1-3 month holding periods. This strategy offers high reward:risk ratios with a positive edge. Set conservative stop-loss orders to mitigate downside risk effectively.


June 21, 2024


PLDT Forecast

PHI      PLDT











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PHI



LPX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LPX  Louisiana-Pacific (0.9)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (0.88)


PUBM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PUBM  PubMatic (0.86)


DVY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVY  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Select Dividend (0.85)


XYL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XYL  Xylem (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PHI



DK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DK  Delek US (0.0)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.0)


ALGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALGN  Align Technology (0.01)


CME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CME  CME (-0.01)


ADP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADP  Automatic Data Processing (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PHI



SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.77)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.78)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.78)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.79)


DUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUST  Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X S (-0.8)





Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with PHI


 Ask any question about PHI!