MAA Forecast


Bullish Case: Strong historical returns and high fundamental resilience coupled with lower relative likelihood of significant drawdowns suggest upward price potential for MAA.


Bearish Case: Recent flat price action and oversupply risks in Sunbelt regions, coupled with insider selling and comparatively higher put option volume, imply downside risks.


Potential Outcomes: 60% economic resilience drives revenue growth; 30% oversupply depresses rental prices; 10% macroeconomic downturn significantly impacts prices.


Trading Oracle: Trade a debit put spread (Helium Long Volatility) by buying $140.0 strike put options and selling $130.0 strike put options expiring in ~28 days. This leverages elevated implied volatility and current bearish sentiment, optimizing profit with manageable risk.


June 23, 2024


Mid-America Apartment Communities Forecast

MAA      Mid-America Apartment Communities











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MAA



EQR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EQR  Equity Residential Properties (0.84)


IVR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVR  Invesco Mortgage (0.83)


DIOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIOD  Diodes (0.8)


NVCR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVCR  NovoCure (0.8)


AOSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AOSL  Alpha & Omega Semiconductor (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MAA



RDNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RDNT  Radnet (0.0)


SRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRPT  Sarepta Therapeutics (-0.0)


TFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TFC  Truist Financial (-0.0)


CRBG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRBG  SAFG Retirement Services (0.0)


VDE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VDE  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Energy (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MAA



CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBOE  Cboe Global Markets (-0.57)


HIBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIBS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bear 3X Shares (-0.58)


PBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBR  Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras (-0.58)


CME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CME  CME (-0.63)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.68)





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