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PHYS Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: PHYS shows strong historical performance over long periods, with current economic and geopolitical tensions enhancing gold demand as a safe haven. Technical analyses indicate potential upward movement aligning with historical patterns.



Bearish Case: Flat short-term trends in PHYS mirror potential economic stabilization, which might reduce gold's allure and cause price stagnation or decline, especially if inflation fears further dissipate.



Potential Outcomes:

1) 25% chance of substantial growth (15%+ return in 2 years);

2) 30% chance of moderate growth (5-15% return);

3) 30% chance of stagnation (0-5% return);

4) 15% chance of decline (-5% or worse).


June 20, 2025


Sprott Physical Gold Trust Units Forecast

PHYS        Sprott Physical Gold Trust Units

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PHYS


SAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAP  Sap SE (0.9)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (0.9)


JFIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JFIN  Jiayin (0.89)


VRSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRSN  Verisign (0.88)


BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PHYS


XLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLK  Technology Select Sector SPDR (0.0)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (-0.0)


IDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IDN  Intellicheck (-0.0)


QLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QLD  ProShares Ultra QQQ (-0.01)


FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PHYS


KSS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KSS  Kohl's (-0.89)


NVO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVO  Novo Nordisk (-0.89)


ASC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASC  Ardmore Shipping (-0.89)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.9)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.92)







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