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PHYS Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: PHYS shows strong historical performance over long periods, with current economic and geopolitical tensions enhancing gold demand as a safe haven. Technical analyses indicate potential upward movement aligning with historical patterns.



Bearish Case: Flat short-term trends in PHYS mirror potential economic stabilization, which might reduce gold's allure and cause price stagnation or decline, especially if inflation fears further dissipate.



Potential Outcomes:

1) 25% chance of substantial growth (15%+ return in 2 years);

2) 30% chance of moderate growth (5-15% return);

3) 30% chance of stagnation (0-5% return);

4) 15% chance of decline (-5% or worse).


June 20, 2025


Sprott Physical Gold Trust Units Forecast

PHYS        Sprott Physical Gold Trust Units

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PHYS


PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (0.92)


VRSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRSN  Verisign (0.9)


ATO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATO  Atmos Energy (0.9)


SAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAP  Sap SE (0.89)


FNV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNV  Franco-Nevada (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PHYS


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (0.0)


PEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEG  Public Service Enterprise (-0.01)


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (0.02)


HAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HAS  Hasbro (0.02)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PHYS


KSS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KSS  Kohl's (-0.88)


REGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REGN  Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (-0.9)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.91)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.91)


FDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDX  Fedex (-0.92)







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