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PICK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: High call option volume and stable implied volatility in the $34-$36 range reflect bullish sentiment, suggesting potential price appreciation.

Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility in lower strikes signals market fear, indicating potential for a downturn if negative news emerges.

Potential Outcomes: 40%: Continued moderate uptrend.
25%: Stability at current levels.
20%: Decline due to external shocks.
15%: Unexpected spike from positive catalysts.

April 22, 2025

BTC iShares MSCI Global M Forecast

PICK BTC iShares MSCI Global M

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PICK

BHP BHP Group Limited (0.95)

MUX McEwen Mining (0.86)

ODP ODP (0.82)

ARVN Arvinas (0.82)

DVN Devon Energy (0.82)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PICK

BIP Brookfield Infrastructure (-0.01)

DAN Dana (-0.02)

FLYW Flywire (-0.03)

ECL Ecolab (-0.03)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PICK

FOXA Fox Corporation - (-0.74)

CLBT Cellebrite DI (-0.74)

TJX TJX Companies (-0.74)

CHWY Chewy (-0.74)

LRN Stride (-0.75)

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