PINK Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Low implied volatility above $30 suggests potential for upward movement, supported by historical returns showing favorable outcomes over short holding periods.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility at lower strikes signals market fear, indicating a risk of downside pressure, especially if negative macroeconomic or health sector news emerges.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Flat trading (40%).

2. Moderate rally (35%) from healthcare news.

3. Market dip (25%) due to regulatory concerns or bearish sentiment.




Trading Oracle: Execute a bull call debit spread targeting $30-$34, expiring June 2025. Low volatility above $31 supports this, offering positive edge with a bullish outlook. Monitor for news or volatility shifts.



February 22, 2025


Simplify Exchange Traded Funds - Simplify Health Care Forecast

PINK        Simplify Exchange Traded Funds - Simplify Health Care











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PINK



EXR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXR  Extra Space Storage (0.88)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.82)


KBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KBH  KB Home (0.81)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.8)


MHK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MHK  Mohawk Industries (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PINK



YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (-0.0)


DOMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOMO  Domo (-0.0)


UAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAL  United Airlines (-0.0)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (0.0)


WSC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WSC  WillScot Mobile Mini (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PINK



LSCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LSCC  Lattice Semiconductor (-0.75)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.75)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.76)


CORN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORN  Teucrium Corn (-0.77)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.87)









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