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PINK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: PINK's low implied volatility at higher strike prices suggests potential upward momentum, supported by favorable historical returns. Optimistic healthcare sentiment adds to this upward potential.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility at current prices suggests market apprehension, potentially driven by regulatory concerns in the healthcare sector. Stagnant recent price action further supports downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: Probability of flat trading is 40%, moderate rally 35% due to positive healthcare sentiment, significant drop 25% if regulatory issues arise. Historical mean-reverting trends support these estimates.

March 30, 2025

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PINK Simplify Exchange Traded Funds - Simplify Health Care

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PINK

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.83)

EPI WisdomTree India Earnings (0.81)

PHM PulteGroup (0.8)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.79)

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PINK

UPST Upstart (-0.0)

RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals (0.0)

AIT Applied Industrial (0.0)

MFC Manulife Financial (0.01)

NEON Neonode (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PINK

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.61)

ETR Entergy (-0.64)

KC Kingsoft Cloud (-0.65)

BB BlackBerry (-0.67)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.75)

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