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AIT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AIT shows robust industrial demand and historical return likelihood supports positive performance. Lower volatility compared to SPY affirms stability.

Bearish Case: High price-to-book ratio and mean-reverting patterns indicate potential valuation concerns amidst economic pressures and high market volatility.

Potential Outcomes: Continued EPS growth at 60% probability due to strong market position.
30% chance of stagnation from overvaluation concerns.
10% risk of sharp market correction impacting price.

March 15, 2025

Applied Industrial Forecast

AIT Applied Industrial

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AIT

DDM ProShares Ultra Dow30 (0.96)

DPST Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares (0.95)

MTB M & T (0.95)

CBRE CBRE (0.94)

VTWO Vanguard Russell 2000 Index (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AIT

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (0.01)

LAC Lithium Americas (-0.02)

MNST Monster Beverage (-0.02)

UUUU Energy Fuels (-0.02)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AIT

WU Western Union (-0.82)

ASML New York Shares (-0.83)

SAGE Sage Therapeutics (-0.84)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.84)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.85)

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