PK Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PK could benefit from a recovering travel sector, increasing occupancy rates, and improved demand, driving revenue growth and potentially elevating stock prices.




Bearish Case: Persistent high volatility and negative social sentiment coupled with economic headwinds may result in decreased profitability and increased risk of capital losses.




Potential Outcomes: Potential outcomes include a 40% chance of price stabilization around $15, a 35% chance of decline toward $12, and a 25% chance of recovery toward $17.




Trading Oracle: Implement a neutral iron condor targeting the $12.50 - $17.50 range expiring in July 2025. This captures constrained volatility and sideways movement, optimizing risk-reward amid market uncertainty.



February 07, 2025


Park Hotels & Resorts Forecast

PK        Park Hotels & Resorts











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PK



TREX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TREX  TREX Co. (0.92)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.91)


DIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIN  Dine Brands (0.88)


LSCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LSCC  Lattice Semiconductor (0.88)


PLAB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLAB  Photronics (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PK



AMPY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMPY  Amplify Energy (0.0)


OTIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OTIS  Otis Worldwide (0.02)


GIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIS  General Mills (0.02)


CQP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CQP  Cheniere Energy (-0.02)


ASPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASPN  Aspen Aerogels (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PK



ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.78)


LTH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LTH  Life Time (-0.79)


INSG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSG  Inseego (-0.81)


SMMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMMT  Summit Therapeutics (-0.82)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (-0.82)









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