POR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: POR's strong dividend yield of 4.64%, consistent capital investments, and customer growth driven by semiconductor expansion position the company for stable returns despite mild fluctuations.


Bearish Case: Prolonged insider selling, potential rate hikes burdening customers, and increased uncertainty contributed by higher implied market volatility indicate likely continued downward pressure.


Potential Outcomes: 60% chance industrial load growth boosts earnings. 25% chance rate hikes result in customer dissatisfaction. 15% chance high insider selling erodes investor confidence further.


Trading Oracle: Execute a bull put credit spread, trading near-term options to capitalize on expected stability and slight positive movement. Reducing timeframe mitigates risks. Focus on the $45 strike put expiring in August 2024. Market odds of profit 24% with a positive edge using current implied volatility projections.


July 16, 2024


Portland General Electric Forecast

POR      Portland General Electric











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ESTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTA  Establishment Labs (0.51)


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Assets with little price relationship to POR



DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.01)


FL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FL  Foot Locker (-0.01)


DLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLR  Digital Realty (0.01)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.03)


GEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GEO  Geo Group (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against POR



ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (-0.04)


HD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HD  Home Depot (-0.04)


PFGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PFGC  Performance Food (-0.17)


SAVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVA  Cassava Sciences (-0.19)


BRZE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BRZE  Braze (-0.47)





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