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PPC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: PPC's solid operational growth and ongoing institutional interest drive optimism. Implied volatility suggests potential upward movements, supported by a favorable price-to-book ratio and historical trends.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and market uncertainty signal risks. Potential regulatory issues and reduced investor holdings may pressure prices, compounded by mean-reverting tendencies in returns.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 55% chance of price increase driven by institutional investments.
  • 35% chance of decline due to market volatility and leverage.
  • 10% chance of stability amidst mixed market signals.



Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility: This strategy capitalizes on the flat implied volatility term structure. Selling ATM puts and buying more OOTM puts leverages bullish sentiment with managed risk, offering potential for a steady return.


April 16, 2025


Pilgrim's Pride Forecast

PPC        Pilgrim's Pride

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PPC


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (0.81)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (0.81)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (0.8)


AON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AON  Aon plc. - (0.79)


HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PPC


CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMCSA  Comcast (0.0)


ACAD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACAD  Acadia Pharmaceuticals (0.01)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.02)


HUBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUBS  HubSpot (0.02)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PPC


ALGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALGN  Align Technology (-0.73)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.75)


MEOH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MEOH  Methanex (-0.76)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.78)


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (-0.88)







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