PPI Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: If inflation stabilizes and economic recovery accelerates, demand for PPI could rise, leading to a bullish sentiment supported by historical price mean reversion, suggesting potential upside to above $17.




Bearish Case: Heightened economic uncertainty or further rate hikes could exacerbate price declines, with historical trends indicating a significant risk of continued downward pressure on PPI, potentially dropping below $12.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 30% chance of PPI recovering to $17 from mean reversion.

2. 40% chance of PPI stabilizing around $15-$16 amidst market equilibrium.

3. 20% chance of a price decline to $12-$13 due to economic downturns.

4. 10% chance of severe volatility, resulting in sharp price swings.




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October 20, 2024


Investment Managers Series Trust II - AXS Astoria Inflation Sensitive Forecast

PPI        Investment Managers Series Trust II - AXS Astoria Inflation Sensitive











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PPI



DBRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBRG  DigitalBridge (0.91)


BLMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLMN  Bloomin Brands (0.89)


OI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OI  O-I Glass (0.89)


CVI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVI  CVR Energy (0.88)


CLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLF  Cleveland-Cliffs (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PPI



SKLZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKLZ  Skillz (-0.0)


OLPX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLPX  Olaplex (0.0)


CNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNM  Core & Main (0.0)


FL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FL  Foot Locker (-0.0)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PPI



AOSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AOSL  Alpha & Omega Semiconductor (-0.78)


INOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INOD  Innodata (-0.79)


NVAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVAX  Novavax (-0.79)


LNTH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNTH  Lantheus (-0.8)


ATGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATGE  Adtalem Global Education (-0.81)









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