PPL Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PPL's mean-reverting price behavior and recent price stability suggest potential for modest upward movement, supported by low implied volatility and recent call trading volume spikes.




Bearish Case: High market uncertainty and competition from renewable energy may limit PPL's potential upside. Historical negative returns amplify skepticism about long-term growth prospects.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Modest gains due to mean reversion: 55%
  • Flat performance amidst market pressures: 25%
  • Decline due to regulatory hurdles or renewables: 20%




Trading Oracle: Opt for Bearish Short Volatility strategy due to high implied volatility and competition risks. Selling ATM call options while buying more OOTM call options could capitalize on elevated market uncertainty, with higher odds of controlled risk return.



May 20, 2025


PPL Forecast

PPL        PPL











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COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (0.94)


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UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (0.92)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (0.88)


ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PPL



ACMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACMR  ACM Research (-0.0)


JBLU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JBLU  Jetblue Airways (-0.0)


GROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GROY  Gold Royalty (0.0)


BCSF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCSF  Bain Capital Specialty Finance (0.0)


HRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRI  Herc (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PPL



CVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVE  Cenovus Energy (-0.89)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.89)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.89)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.9)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.91)









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