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PSP Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: PSP's historical mean-reversion trend and lower implied volatility compared to SPY suggest potential for upward price movement.



Bearish Case: Heightened short-term volatility and recent price decline risk suggest potential continued downside pressure.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Price stabilizes around current levels (45%) due to mean-reversion.
  • Price declines by 5% (30%) driven by short-term volatilities.
  • Price increases by 5% (25%) due to improving sentiment.


May 01, 2025


Invesco Global Listed Private Equity Forecast

PSP        Invesco Global Listed Private Equity

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PSP


MAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAC  Macerich (0.88)


DAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAL  Delta Air Lines (0.88)


IWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.88)


VB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VB  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap (0.87)


BANC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BANC  Banc of California (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PSP


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.0)


ADI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADI  Analog Devices (-0.0)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.0)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (-0.01)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PSP


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.6)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.62)


DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (-0.67)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.77)


SPDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPDN  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.8)







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