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PSP Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: The current low implied volatility suggests a stable market environment, and historical data indicates strong mean reversion potential. A favorable macroeconomic outlook and increasing demand for private equity could propel PSP prices significantly higher.

Bearish Case: Heightened market uncertainty and geopolitical risks might trigger short-term volatility spikes, negatively impacting investor sentiment towards PSP. If economic conditions worsen, bearish trends could dominate and suppress price movement.

Potential Outcomes: Price increases by 10% due to mean reversion (30% chance).
Price stabilizes with minor fluctuations (50% chance).
Price decreases by 5% as market volatility arises (20% chance).

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November 23, 2024

Invesco Global Listed Private Equity Forecast

PSP Invesco Global Listed Private Equity

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PSP

IDT IDT Corp. - (0.91)

XLB Active Trust - Materials Select Sector SPDR (0.9)

EWG BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Germany (0.87)

CAT Caterpillar (0.86)

BYRN Byrna (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PSP

PLBY PLBY (-0.0)

CWH Camping World (-0.01)

HIVE HIVE Blockchain (-0.01)

SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands (-0.01)

$TEX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies$ TEX Terex (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PSP

JACK Jack In The Box (-0.63)

BIIB Biogen (-0.67)

VSAT Viasat (-0.7)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.75)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.76)

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