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RBLX Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: The market is showing bullish signs as RBLX's implied volatility is projected to increase, alongside rising call option volumes, suggesting positive sentiment ahead of key earnings announcements and developer events.



Bearish Case: Despite some bullish signals, RBLX faces legal scrutiny and high valuation concerns, which could result in a significant downturn, especially if upcoming earnings disappoint.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% - Positive earnings drive RBLX to $55;

2. 30% - Legal issues cause decline to $45;

3. 20% - Stabilization around $50 amidst mixed sentiment.



Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish credit put spread: Sell 1 $49.50 put, buy 2 $47.50 puts expiring in 7 days. Anticipate a high probability of profit (78%) leveraging current implied volatility periods. Monitor price closely for adjustments.


November 19, 2024


Roblox Corporation - Forecast

RBLX        Roblox Corporation -

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RBLX


ADI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADI  Analog Devices (0.0)


TXG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TXG  10x Genomics (-0.0)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.01)


QSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QSR  Restaurant Brands International (-0.01)


INMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INMD  Inmode (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RBLX


OBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OBE  Obsidian Energy (-0.7)


MRNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRNA  Moderna (-0.7)


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CLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLW  Clearwater Paper (-0.72)


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