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RDI Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: RDI has recently shown a 19% increase over sixty days, suggesting potential upward momentum. Historical return surface indicates positive returns when held over two years could support bullish sentiments.



Bearish Case: Persistent negative year-over-year performance with a 57.4% drop over two years, coupled with flat recent price action, highlights continued bearish risks.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Price Stagnation: 50% likelihood due to flat trend.

2. Short-term Rebound: 30% chance from recent price uptick.

3. Continued Decline: 20% likelihood from long-term negative trends.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread: buy RDI 07/18/2025 2.50 Call, sell RDI 07/18/2025 5.00 Call. Leveraging high implied volatility and recent upward trend for potential profit within six months. Prioritize alpha and favorable risk/reward details.


February 21, 2025


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