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RDI Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: RDI has recently shown a 19% increase over sixty days, suggesting potential upward momentum. Historical return surface indicates positive returns when held over two years could support bullish sentiments.



Bearish Case: Persistent negative year-over-year performance with a 57.4% drop over two years, coupled with flat recent price action, highlights continued bearish risks.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Price Stagnation: 50% likelihood due to flat trend.

2. Short-term Rebound: 30% chance from recent price uptick.

3. Continued Decline: 20% likelihood from long-term negative trends.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread: buy RDI 07/18/2025 2.50 Call, sell RDI 07/18/2025 5.00 Call. Leveraging high implied volatility and recent upward trend for potential profit within six months. Prioritize alpha and favorable risk/reward details.


February 21, 2025


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MOH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOH  Molina Healthcare (0.8)


BMEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMEA  Biomea Fusion (0.78)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (0.72)


ABSI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABSI  Absci (0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RDI


SRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRPT  Sarepta Therapeutics (0.0)


JBLU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JBLU  Jetblue Airways (-0.0)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (-0.0)


XYL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XYL  Xylem (-0.0)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RDI


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (-0.67)


TXRH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TXRH  Texas Roadhouse (-0.69)


MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (-0.7)


GME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GME  Gamestop (-0.7)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.73)







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