RFL Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: RFL could benefit from potential defense contracts and increased visibility in the defense sector, supported by renewed investor sentiments.Helium




Bearish Case: Ongoing legal issues and a history of steep declines pose risks to RFL investor confidence and stock price stability.HeliumHelium




Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of successful defense contracts boosting value; 50% of embezzlement impacting stock price; 10% odds of external factors minorly affecting prices.HeliumHelium




Trading Oracle: Implement a long volatility strategy using debit spreads due to high implied volatility and potential positive events. Consider buying RFL 05/16/2025 2.50 C and selling 5.00 C to profit from possible recovery, targeting a 4-month outlook. This strategy balances risk with the potential for high returns.



January 07, 2025


Rafael Forecast

RFL        Rafael











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RFL



DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (0.77)


ILMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ILMN  Illumina (0.75)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (0.75)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.74)


WEBL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WEBL  Direxion Daily Dow Jones Internet Bull 3X Shares (0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RFL



BHP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHP  BHP Group Limited (0.0)


NGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGL  NGL Energy Partners (-0.01)


SONY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SONY  Sony Group Corporation (-0.01)


DNUT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNUT  Krispy Kreme (0.01)


ARKG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKG  ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RFL



WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (-0.65)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.65)


ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (-0.68)


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (-0.68)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.77)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with RFL


 Ask any question about RFL!