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RGLD Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: RGLD's diversified royalties continue providing steady income. Recent acquisitions could boost future revenue, supported by positive dividend history and stable commodity prices.



Bearish Case: Continued negative analyst sentiment and potential production challenges at key assets may suppress stock performance, limiting upside amid current flat volatility structure.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Revenue boost from acquisitions: 60%
  • Negative analyst sentiment impacts price: 30%
  • Stable price action: 10%



Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish short volatility strategy by selling $140 put and buying two $130 puts. The 75% probability trade capitalizes on low volatility, offering a 27% return with controlled risk.


February 05, 2025


Royal Gold Forecast

RGLD        Royal Gold

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RGLD


WPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPM  Wheaton Precious Metals (0.98)


CLH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLH  Clean Harbors (0.93)


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (0.93)


PNW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNW  Pinnacle West (0.92)


UGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UGL  ProShares Ultra Gold (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RGLD


DOX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOX  Amdocs (0.0)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (-0.0)


VGLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGLT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (-0.01)


JBLU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JBLU  Jetblue Airways (0.02)


THS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   THS  Treehouse Foods (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RGLD


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.82)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.85)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.85)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.86)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.87)







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