RGLD Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: RGLD’s stable implied volatility, strong dividend history, and strategic mine acquisitions increase its appeal. Additionally, bullish sentiment and better than expected gold price movements can drive up the stock.




Bearish Case: High P/E ratio, potential production snags at partner mines, and flat price action suggest valuation pressures. Persistent negative analyst sentiment and macro uncertainties could lead to downside risk.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Successful mine operations boost RGLD price (60%)
  2. Negative analyst sentiment continues (30%)
  3. Stable gold prices, marginal changes (10%)




Trading Oracle:

With flat term structure and slightly higher Helium forecast, a Bullish Short Volatility strategy is advised. Sell $150 puts and buy deeper OOTM $130 puts. This leverages expected low volatility and 42% potential return for maximum gains.



March 16, 2025


Royal Gold Forecast

RGLD        Royal Gold











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