RGLD Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: RGLD's revenue growth from Brazilian mines and stable gold prices suggest strong upside. Low implied volatility indicates an opportunity for value investments.




Bearish Case: Persistently weak analyst sentiment and recent price declines suggest potential downside. Flat term structure and market volatility increase risks.




Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of price rise from acquisition successes, 30% downside risk due to analyst sentiment, 10% neutral. Historical data supports revenue-driven growth.




Trading Oracle: Initiate a short volatility strategy targeting February with positive edge. Sell $135 call, buy $140 call. Capitalize on low vol and expected revenue growth. High profit potential from 72% probability, moderate risk, with low SPY correlation.



January 03, 2025


Royal Gold Forecast

RGLD        Royal Gold











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RGLD



KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (0.98)


WPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPM  Wheaton Precious Metals (0.98)


IAG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IAG  Iamgold (0.95)


NGD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGD  New Gold (0.95)


GLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLD  SPDR Gold Shares (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RGLD



INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.0)


COO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COO  Cooper Companies (0.0)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (0.01)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.01)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RGLD



RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.86)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.87)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.88)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.9)









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