RIG Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Transocean's substantial contract backlog and improvement in offshore drilling demand indicate potential revenue growth, bolstering bullish sentiment. Increasing call option volumes further support a price uptick.




Bearish Case: Transocean grapples with high debt and consistent quarterly losses. Flat volatility and stagnant social sentiment suggest limited upside, leaving the stock vulnerable to downward pressure.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 35%: Revenue boost from contract wins.
  • 40%: Continued losses affect price.
  • 25%: Regulatory changes prompt volatility.




Trading Oracle:

Consider a Bullish Long Volatility strategy by buying OOTM call options and selling fewer further OOTM call options. Given the Helium volatility forecast's positive edge, capitalize on potential revenue growth. Review the strategy details here.



March 26, 2025


Transocean Forecast

RIG        Transocean











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