RIG Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: RIG's potential contract wins and robust backlog suggest strong revenue growth prospects, supporting a bullish outlook.




Bearish Case: High debt levels, persistent quarterly losses, and market volatility continue to weigh on RIG's financial stability and investor sentiment.




Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of revenue boost from contracts, 40% risk from debt pressure, persistent losses could limit upside.




Trading Oracle: Deploy a bull call debit spread by buying $5.0 calls and selling $6.0 calls expiring in 212 days. This leverages potential upside from revenue growth while managing risk with a defined cost structure. Tighten positions as market conditions evolve.



January 16, 2025


Transocean Forecast

RIG        Transocean











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OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.84)


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (0.84)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (0.83)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RIG



AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.0)


SCHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHW  Charles Schwab (0.01)


AMPY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMPY  Amplify Energy (-0.01)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.01)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RIG



CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.77)


GWRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GWRE  Guidewire Software (-0.79)


COHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COHR  Coherent (-0.79)


INFY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INFY  Infosys (-0.81)


MSGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MSGS  Madison Square Garden Sports Corp - (-0.83)









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