RIG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Transocean's growing contract backlog and elevated call option volumes suggest potential revenue growth, fostering optimism amidst the offshore drilling recovery.




Bearish Case: Persistent high debt and volatility, along with declining prices, cloud financial stability, raising concerns over future viability amidst regulatory pressures.




Potential Outcomes: Rising backlog enhances growth potential (40%), but debt stress may limit upside (35%). Volatility from earnings announcements is likely (25%), possibly impacting investor sentiment.



April 22, 2025


Transocean Forecast

RIG        Transocean











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RIG



GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.96)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.96)


CGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CGC  Canopy Growth (0.95)


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (0.94)


ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RIG



MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNSO  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (0.0)


IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (0.0)


BHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHC  Bausch Health Companies (-0.0)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.01)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RIG



OUNZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUNZ  VanEck Merk Gold (-0.89)


VNET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNET  VNET (-0.89)


TSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSAT  Telesat Corp (-0.9)


FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (-0.91)


ORLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORLY  O'Reilly Automotive (-0.91)









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