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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish

Bullish Case: Rio Tinto may benefit as demand for clean energy metals rises, bolstered by China's recovery and industrial growth. Strategic investments in lithium and copper can lead to revenue growth, aligning with global sustainability goals.

Bearish Case: Continued bearish sentiment could stem from falling commodity prices, particularly iron ore, amid economic slowdowns in China. Operational challenges and reputational risks linked to environmental issues may also suppress stock performance.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of strong demand surge for lithium and copper boosting revenues.

2. 30% chance of ongoing operational and market pressures leading to price declines.

3. 30% chance of geopolitical impacts causing significant volatility.

Trading Oracle: Consider establishing a bullish debit spread by purchasing $65 calls and selling $67.5 calls, targeting a three-month horizon as clean energy demand grows. Alternatively, implement bullish put spreads around $60-$57.5 to capitalize on potential price stabilization while managing risk effectively.

September 13, 2024











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SMPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMPL  Simply Good Foods (0.78)


LPG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LPG  Dorian LPG (0.76)


GIII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIII  G-III Apparel (0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RIO


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.0)


SCHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHD  Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.0)


ACI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACI  Albertsons Companies (-0.0)


YOU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YOU  Clear Secure (0.0)


CGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CGC  Canopy Growth (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RIO


USO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USO  United States Commodity Funds (-0.48)


OHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OHI  Omega Healthcare Investors (-0.51)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.54)


MAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAT  Mattel (-0.57)


AON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AON  Aon plc. - (-0.61)



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