ROST Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ROST's solid expansion, strong consumer demand, and resilient business model could enhance growth. Favorable implied volatility trends suggest investor confidence.




Bearish Case: High competition, macroeconomic headwinds, and potential consumer spending slowdown pose risks, with options data indicating cautious market sentiment.




Potential Outcomes: 60% stock rise due to expansion; 30% stable market; 10% decline due to economic headwinds.




Trading Oracle: Given the current market conditions, execute a Bullish Short Volatility strategy. Sell ATM put options and buy more OOTM puts to capitalize on stable implied volatility, providing a solid potential return.



April 11, 2025


Ross Stores Forecast

ROST        Ross Stores











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ROST



FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (0.65)


ROIV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROIV  Roivant Sciences (0.62)


SG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SG  Sweetgreen (0.58)


DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (0.58)


DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (0.57)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ROST



W Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   W  Wayfair (0.0)


ALLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALLY  Ally Financial (0.0)


DKL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKL  Delek Logistics Partners LP - Unit (-0.0)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (0.01)


CRON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRON  Cronos (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ROST



CVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVX  Chevron (-0.49)


SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (-0.5)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (-0.55)


GROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GROY  Gold Royalty (-0.59)


LU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LU  Lufax Holding Ltd (-0.63)









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