ROST Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ROST's solid expansion, strong consumer demand, and resilient business model could enhance growth. Favorable implied volatility trends suggest investor confidence.




Bearish Case: High competition, macroeconomic headwinds, and potential consumer spending slowdown pose risks, with options data indicating cautious market sentiment.




Potential Outcomes: 60% stock rise due to expansion; 30% stable market; 10% decline due to economic headwinds.




Trading Oracle: Given the current market conditions, execute a Bullish Short Volatility strategy. Sell ATM put options and buy more OOTM puts to capitalize on stable implied volatility, providing a solid potential return.



April 11, 2025


Ross Stores Forecast

ROST        Ross Stores











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Assets that tend to move strongly with ROST



MOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOD  Modine Manufacturing (0.65)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (0.65)


GKOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GKOS  Glaukos (0.64)


ROIV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROIV  Roivant Sciences (0.62)


IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (0.61)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ROST



DKL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKL  Delek Logistics Partners LP - Unit (-0.0)


ADC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADC  Agree Realty (-0.0)


BK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BK  Bank Of New York Mellon (0.0)


TGNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGNA  TEGNA (0.01)


BBAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBAR  BBVA Argentina (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ROST



SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.45)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.47)


CVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVX  Chevron (-0.49)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (-0.55)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.67)









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