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RVP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RVP’s recent 29.9% price increase, potential healthcare adoption, and inventive applications spark optimism despite social media skepticism.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility (500%) in options and persistent price decline suggest overvaluation, ongoing market skepticism, and limited upside.

Potential Outcomes: Increased adoption in healthcare (25%), continued market saturation (40%), innovative applications (15%), external factors impact (20%).

Trading Oracle: Explore bullish debit spreads, purchasing RVP 01/17/2025 5.00 Calls and selling 7.50 Calls. Align with high IV from RVP options and recent price stability for a medium-term strategy. Leverage moderate upside potential and mean reversion.

January 08, 2025

Retractable Forecast

RVP Retractable

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RVP

NTLA Intellia Therapeutics (0.89)

XRX Xerox (0.88)

COTY Coty (0.88)

LEA Lear (0.86)

IEP Icahn (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RVP

CMC Commercial Metals (0.01)

GIS General Mills (-0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (-0.01)

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.02)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RVP

CMPO CompoSecure (-0.89)

VIRT Virtu Financial (-0.89)

CRS Carpenter Technology (-0.89)

ARGT Global X Funds - Global X MSCI Argentina (-0.9)

MLI Mueller Industries (-0.9)

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