RWT Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: RWT's strategic investments in EV battery recycling and solid dividend yield suggest potential for a positive market shift, supported by stable implied volatility and increased call option activity.




Bearish Case: Persistent downtrends, high historical volatility, and ongoing local challenges suggest RWT may continue facing downward pressure, with historical patterns indicating limited recovery prospects.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% - Strategic projects drive modest recovery.
  • 50% - Flat price action persists, driven by market skepticism.
  • 20% - Volatility leads to further declines due to debt and local issues.



April 04, 2025


Redwood Forecast

RWT        Redwood











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RWT



PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.85)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (0.84)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.84)


BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (0.82)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RWT



SKLZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKLZ  Skillz (0.0)


DOMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOMO  Domo (0.0)


ALLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALLY  Ally Financial (-0.0)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.0)


DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RWT



WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.61)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.65)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.66)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.7)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.77)









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