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Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Implied volatility for Sprint is relatively high, suggesting trader optimism amidst potential growth catalysts such as new deployments in technology. Strong performance in call options indicates bullish sentiment may drive prices higher.



Bearish Case: Current high implied volatility juxtaposed with historical price declines raises concerns about overexuberance. Regulatory and competitive pressures continue to loom, which may hinder profitability and escalate downside risk.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance: Successful 5G rollout enhances customer acquisition.
  • 30% chance: Increased regulatory scrutiny hinders growth.
  • 20% chance: Overall market downturn impacts Sprint's performance.
  • 10% chance: Strategic partnerships significantly boost service demand.



Trading Oracle: Adopt a bearish strategy using a short put spread due to elevated implied volatility. Sell 1 $24 put (high volume) and buy 2 $22 puts for downside protection, targeting a 28% return with a 74% probability of profit. This hedges against potential declines while leveraging current bullish sentiment for premium capture.


December 14, 2024











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