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SAFT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SAFT's financial stability and recent positive sentiment on dividends create a supportive environment, despite mixed social sentiments. Option Greeks suggest limited downside risk.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility suggests market uncertainty, possibly driven by regulatory pressures and flat price action. This reflects potential instability in investor confidence.

Potential Outcomes: Market Stability: 40% chance, due to consistent regulatory adaptation and steady dividends.
Downturn: 35% likely, driven by high IV and competitive challenges.
Innovation-Driven Growth: 25% possibility, linked to potential tech advancements.

March 18, 2025

Safety Insurance Group Forecast

SAFT Safety Insurance Group

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SAFT

VTRS Viatris (0.77)

BZH Beazer Homes USA (0.68)

TOL Toll Brothers (0.64)

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.63)

RRX Regal Rexnord (0.58)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SAFT

AAL American Airlines (0.0)

VAL Valaris (0.0)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (0.0)

SAP Sap SE (-0.0)

APP Applovin Corp (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SAFT

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.32)

ETR Entergy (-0.34)

TAL TAL Education (-0.41)

HIMX Himax (-0.45)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.48)

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