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Bullish Case: SCC could rebound if consumer sentiment improves, supported by low current price levels and high implied volatility suggesting large potential price swings. Market uncertainty may favor long positions as investors seek protection against volatility.

Bearish Case: Ongoing economic pressures might further depress consumer services, leading to another downtrend for SCC. Historical mean reversion suggests that prices could gravitate towards lower levels, underscoring the potential for continued downside.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Market recovery boosts prices (40%)

2. High volatility events trigger price spikes (25%)

3. Continued economic downturn suppresses prices (35%)

Trading Oracle: Consider initiating a bearish credit spread by selling SCC $12.00 put and buying $10.00 put for October, capitalizing on high implied volatility. Positioning for potential downward movement while maintaining favorable risk:reward.

September 14, 2024