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SF Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: SF's solid historical returns, institutional backing, and manageable volatility suggest continued growth, supported by expansion and acquisition strategies.



Bearish Case: Potential market correction due to high implied volatility, economic downturn concerns, and regulatory changes. Volatility trends imply risk of price stagnation or decline.



Potential Outcomes: Growth (35%), Stagnation (40%), Decline (25%). Economic and regulatory factors heavily influence probabilities.



Trading Oracle: Trade debit call spreads on SF at $110, expiring February 2025. Current low volatility and increasing institutional support suggest high reward:risk. The strategy aligns with anticipated volatility contraction and favorable sentiment shift.


December 31, 2024


Stifel Financial Forecast

SF        Stifel Financial

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