SFM Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SFM's strategic store expansions and product differentiation foster increased consumer loyalty and brand growth. The positive sentiment and competitive pricing boost potential market capture, supporting continued sales growth.




Bearish Case: Insider selling and competitive pressures pose significant risks, potentially leading to margin compression and reduced investor confidence. Elevated volatility and current economic uncertainty may lead to downside corrections.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of growth from ongoing expansion and differentiation.
  • 30% chance of market pressure limiting growth.
  • 20% chance insider selling affects price negatively.
  • 10% chance of external shocks impacting performance.



April 12, 2025


Sprouts Farmers Market Forecast

SFM        Sprouts Farmers Market











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ADP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADP  Automatic Data Processing (0.94)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (0.94)


ZG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZG  Zillow (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SFM



EXAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXAS  Exact Sciences (-0.0)


H Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   H  Hyatt Hotels (0.01)


SMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMG  Scotts Miracle-Gro (-0.01)


MBUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MBUU  Malibu Boats (-0.02)


ROST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROST  Ross Stores (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SFM



RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.89)


CRON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRON  Cronos (-0.89)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.9)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.9)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.91)









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