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SHOO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Positive social media sentiment and stable long-term institutional support may catalyze upward price movements, especially if sales outperform expectations.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical price stagnation alongside insider sales could indicate downside potential, compounded by unimpressive earnings and market headwinds.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of price stability, 20% chance of 10% rise if earnings surprise, and 20% chance of 10% drop if retail sales disappoint.

Trading Oracle: Adopt a bearish debit spread: buy the SHOO 06/20/2025 $40 put, sell the $35 put. Short-term bearish due to high implied volatility and recent stagnation. Optimizing risk-reward with an anticipated market correction in the next 3-4 months. High probability of profit from potential downward movement.

February 15, 2025

Steven Madden Forecast

SHOO Steven Madden

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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