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SITC Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: SITC's strategic real estate portfolio enhancements post-spin-off are supported by stable high-demand locations, forecasting robust income growth. High historical return likelihood suggests significant upside potential coupled with attractive valuations as leverage improves.



Bearish Case: Concerns over dividend and sustainability issues amidst high market volatility and SITC's exposure to retail weaknesses could pressure shares. Elevated implied volatility and potential overvaluation highlight downside risks, especially if consumer spending falters.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued credit improvements and strategic leverage reduction (70%).

2. Negative market sentiment due to revenue concerns (20%).

3. Unexpected economic downturns impacting consumer retail (10%).



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February 20, 2025


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