SPGI Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SPGI's consistent revenue growth and dominant market position in financial ratings provide long-term stability. The historical return surface shows favorable probabilities of positive returns, enhancing bullish sentiment.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and macroeconomic risks, such as regulatory pressures and market uncertainties, pose significant threats. Backwardation in volatility surfaces hints at potential short-term downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance: Continued growth in financial data services boosts SPGI's revenue.
  • 25% chance: Regulatory challenges dampen market position.
  • 15% chance: Market downturn impacts demand.
  • 20% chance: Increased demand for ESG and clean energy services fuels growth.



May 23, 2025


S&P Global Forecast

SPGI        S&P Global











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPGI



DVY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVY  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Select Dividend (0.82)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.74)


VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.73)


SATS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SATS  EchoStar (0.73)


DFEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFEN  Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SPGI



REXR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REXR  Rexford Industrial Realty (0.0)


FDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDX  Fedex (0.01)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (0.01)


JOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JOE  St. Joe (-0.01)


LPRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LPRO  Open Lending Corp - (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPGI



STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.41)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.46)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.49)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.51)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.58)









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