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SPGI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong fundamentals and increased institutional demand suggest price appreciation. Social media sentiment and historical resilience support growth expectations.

Bearish Case: Regulatory uncertainties and economic instability could dampen growth. High implied volatility indicates potential risk, with mean reversion threatening short-term gains.

Potential Outcomes: 60% probability of continued recovery in financial data demand boosting valuations; 40% risk of regulatory pressures hindering growth.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by buying near-month ATM and selling OTM calls, targeting a 60-day horizon. Leverage current implied volatility discrepancies for high reward:risk potential. Monitor for shifts in regulatory developments.

January 09, 2025

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SPGI S&P Global

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPGI

CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide (0.89)

INFY Infosys (0.88)

ALHC Alignment Healthcare (0.88)

EXR Extra Space Storage (0.88)

LTH Life Time (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SPGI

CMC Commercial Metals (0.0)

WHR Whirlpool (-0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (-0.02)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (-0.04)

SRRK Scholar Rock (0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPGI

TREX TREX Co. (-0.83)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.85)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.85)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.86)

TRIP TripAdvisor (-0.87)

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Bullish / Bearish

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Trading Strategies

Long Volatility

Short Volatility

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