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SPGI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SPGI's strong revenue from diversified services, positive earnings outlook, and technological advancements position it for long-term growth.

Bearish Case: Rising regulatory risks and heightened market volatility could suppress SPGI's earnings, especially with its high current valuation and mean-reverting price history.

Potential Outcomes: 1. Continued regulatory tightness impacts revenue (30%).
2. Increased demand for ESG services boosts growth (50%).
3. Economic downturn affects financial data demand (20%).

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish implied volatility strategy using call debit spreads, targeting April expiration. Buy $520 calls, sell $530 calls, capitalize on bullish sentiment and potential volatility drop. Optimal for 45-day outlook.

February 08, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPGI

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.92)

LTH Life Time (0.91)

DGRO iShares Core Dividend Growth (0.91)

SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility (0.9)

EPR EPR Properties (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SPGI

GIS General Mills (-0.0)

OPCH Option Care Health Inc. - Registered Shares (-0.0)

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.0)

FSTR L.B. Foster Co. (-0.01)

NOVA Sunnova Energy International (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPGI

GO Grocery Outlet (-0.81)

GES Guess (-0.81)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.82)

ATKR Atkore (-0.85)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)

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