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SPGI Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: SPGI's consistent revenue growth and dominant market position in financial ratings provide long-term stability. The historical return surface shows favorable probabilities of positive returns, enhancing bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and macroeconomic risks, such as regulatory pressures and market uncertainties, pose significant threats. Backwardation in volatility surfaces hints at potential short-term downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance: Continued growth in financial data services boosts SPGI's revenue.
  • 25% chance: Regulatory challenges dampen market position.
  • 15% chance: Market downturn impacts demand.
  • 20% chance: Increased demand for ESG and clean energy services fuels growth.


May 23, 2025


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SPGI        S&P Global

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPGI


DGRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DGRO  iShares Core Dividend Growth (0.87)


BOX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOX  Box (0.85)


SCHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHD  Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.8)


VT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total World Stock (0.79)


DT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DT  Dynatrace (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SPGI


ZROZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZROZ  PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded (-0.0)


HASI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HASI  Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure (0.0)


CCCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCCS  CCC Intelligent (-0.0)


ADI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADI  Analog Devices (0.0)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPGI


IDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IDN  Intellicheck (-0.48)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.48)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.49)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.51)


PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (-0.52)







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