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SSO Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: The recent AI forecast indicates a slight upward bias (+0.3%). Implied volatility is lower than historical norms favoring potential upside, supported by positive sentiment and historical returns.



Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility and a predominantly flat price structure suggest caution. Historical drawdowns and current trading volumes highlight risk, with potential downside if volatility spikes.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 60% chance of continuation around $84.

2. 25% possibility of pullback towards $80.

3. 15% potential rally to $90 due to market shifts or sentiment changes.



Trading Oracle: Bearish Long Volatility chosen due to high implied volatility and historical mean-reversion tendencies. This strategy utilizes OOTM put options to capitalize on potential downward price movement amidst uncertain market conditions.


April 03, 2025


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Assets that tend to move strongly with SSO


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.99)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.94)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.94)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (0.93)


IWP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWP  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SSO


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.02)


EXAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXAS  Exact Sciences (0.03)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (0.03)


DDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDD  3D Systems (-0.04)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SSO


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.74)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.75)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.75)


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.76)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.79)







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