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TALK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Increased demand for mental health services and potential regulatory support may boost TALK's future growth, despite past volatility.

Bearish Case: Competitive market pressures and economic uncertainties threaten TALK's growth prospects, as evidenced by recent price declines and low trade volumes.

Potential Outcomes: Increased subscriptions due to mental health awareness: 30%
Intense competition affects market share: 50%
Regulatory support enhances growth: 20%
Economic downturn impacts spending on therapy: 40%

Trading Oracle: Considering high implied volatility and competitive pressures, a Bearish Long Volatility strategy is suitable. Buy out-of-the-money put options and sell fewer further out-of-the-money puts, given market conditions and mean-reverting price action.

April 10, 2025

Talkspace Forecast

TALK Talkspace

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TALK

GROY Gold Royalty (-0.0)

TRI Thomson-Reuters (-0.01)

CLSK Cleanspark (0.02)

SEE Sealed Air (-0.02)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TALK

ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded (-0.72)

AMGN AMGEN (-0.73)

CL Colgate-Palmolive (-0.78)

TYD Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.79)

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.83)

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