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TJX Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: TJX's strong consumer demand, robust sales growth, and strategic expansion position the company for continued upward momentum. Its ability to maintain profitability under inflationary pressures bolsters investor confidence.



Bearish Case: High valuation metrics and potential overvaluation pose risks. Additionally, supply chain disruptions and economic downturns could negatively impact TJX's profitability and stock price.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Sales growth sustains, boosting price (60%).
  • Market correction occurs, lowering price (30%).
  • Unforeseen negative events prompt volatility (10%).



Trading Oracle:
Executing a Bullish Short Volatility strategy can capitalize on the current low implied volatility and the strong consumer demand for TJX's offerings. Selling ATM put options while buying OOTM put options balances risk, anticipating a continued positive trend.


April 23, 2025


TJX Companies Forecast

TJX        TJX Companies

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TJX


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (0.92)


CHWY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHWY  Chewy (0.9)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (0.89)


DFS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFS  Discover Financial Services (0.88)


CLBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLBT  Cellebrite DI (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TJX


FDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDX  Fedex (-0.0)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (-0.0)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.01)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.02)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TJX


ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (-0.82)


CRON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRON  Cronos (-0.83)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.84)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.84)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.87)







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