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TK Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Teekay benefits from sustained high tanker rates and geopolitical tensions, potentially boosting long-term returns. Historical data shows significant upside when rates are favorable.



Bearish Case: TK's mean-reverting tendencies and high implied volatility suggest potential downside, exacerbated by decreasing oil demand and global economic uncertainties.



Potential Outcomes:
  • High tanker rates persist (60%): +15% upside.
  • Oil demand declines (25%): -10% downside.
  • Geopolitical tensions rise (15%): +30% upside.



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May 15, 2025


Teekay Forecast

TK        Teekay

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Assets that tend to move strongly with TK


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (0.77)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.73)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.72)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.7)


ALGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALGN  Align Technology (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TK


SG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SG  Sweetgreen (0.0)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (-0.0)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.01)


ES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ES  Eversource Energy (0.01)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TK


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (-0.58)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.61)


COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (-0.63)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.66)


IMAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMAX  Imax (-0.71)







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