TLS Forecast


Bullish Case: Given Telos’s recent optimistic collaborations and technological innovations, a strong rebound and continuous improvement in market perception could potentially lead to substantial gains over an extended period.


Bearish Case: High volatility, regulatory challenges, and market skepticism could potentially drive TLS prices further down, as historical data shows a likelihood of negative returns over longer holding periods.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued multi-chain collaborations (30%) [Helium].

2. Poor market performance (35%) [Helium].

3. Changes by institutional owners (25%) [Helium].

4. Market consolidation or strategic partnerships (20%).


Trading Oracle: Given high implied volatility, pursue a debit spread strategy. Buy Feb $2.5 Puts and sell Feb $5 Puts. This Helium Long Volatility strategy leverages bearish short-term trends while mitigating risk. Target profit at 50%, with stops at a 25% loss.


July 20, 2024


Telos Forecast

TLS      Telos











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LOGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LOGI  Logitech International (0.78)


CRDO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRDO  CRDO (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TLS



CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (-0.0)


NEGG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEGG  Newegg Commerce (-0.0)


ADC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADC  Agree Realty (0.0)


DCTH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DCTH  Delcath Systems (0.01)


D Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   D  Dominion Energy (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TLS



BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (-0.74)


FNV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNV  Franco-Nevada (-0.76)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.76)


CELH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CELH  Celsius (-0.8)


IMAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMAX  Imax (-0.83)





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