TPH Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TPH benefits from strategic expansions in Austin and rising housing demand, leveraging sustainable practices and a low price-to-book ratio.




Bearish Case: High volatility and increased put options traded signal market caution. Economic uncertainties and declining prices could suppress growth prospects.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance TPH rises amid strategic positioning and demand.
  • 30% chance of price stagnation due to mixed market signals.
  • 30% chance of decline from economic volatility.



April 09, 2025


Tri Pointe Homes Forecast

TPH        Tri Pointe Homes











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TPH



LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.95)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.95)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.94)


BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (0.93)


CUBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CUBE  CubeSmart (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TPH



PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.0)


BLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLK  Blackrock (0.0)


MRVL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRVL  Marvell Technology (0.0)


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (-0.01)


DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TPH



MP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MP  MP Materials (-0.57)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.58)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.63)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.7)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.71)









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