TPH Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TPH's strategic expansions and strong call volume indicate optimism. The flat term structure supports stability, and economic growth in key markets enhances potential for recovery.




Bearish Case: Market uncertainty and high implied volatility indicate risk. Economic challenges, including a credit downgrade, present potential headwinds, suggesting vulnerability to broader market corrections.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of moderate growth due to market resilience and strategic expansion.

2. 35% probability of sideways trading amidst high volatility.

3. 25% chance of a downturn from economic headwinds.



June 10, 2025


Tri Pointe Homes Forecast

TPH        Tri Pointe Homes











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TPH



LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.97)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.92)


SAFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAFE  Safehold (0.89)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (0.87)


CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMCSA  Comcast (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TPH



SITM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SITM  SiTime (0.0)


KEYS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KEYS  Keysight (0.0)


ROK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROK  Rockwell Automation (-0.01)


TSM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSM  Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (-0.02)


SATS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SATS  EchoStar (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TPH



EPSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPSN  Epsilon Energy (-0.69)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.72)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.72)


TBF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBF  ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.73)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.82)









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