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TPH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Recent bullish sentiment with 78% more call options and a focus on sustainable housing could drive TPH upward. Strong strategic expansions support potential growth.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and economic uncertainty suggest potential downside risk. Rising interest rates may impact housing demand negatively, pressuring TPH.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of moderate growth from favorable market conditions.
30% correction driven by economic challenges.
30% possibility of sideways trading amid volatility.

May 14, 2025

Tri Pointe Homes Forecast

TPH Tri Pointe Homes

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TPH

LEN Lennar (0.97)

PHM PulteGroup (0.96)

BZH Beazer Homes USA (0.94)

WD Walker & Dunlop (0.92)

OMC Omnicom Group (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TPH

KEYS Keysight (0.0)

CMI Cummins (0.0)

MRVL Marvell Technology (0.0)

PTLO Portillos (-0.01)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TPH

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (-0.65)

LRN Stride (-0.66)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.68)

BB BlackBerry (-0.69)

TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.73)

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