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TPH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TPH could benefit from strong housing demand in Austin and strategic land acquisitions, supporting potential upside.

Bearish Case: Rising interest rates and market volatility may depress housing demand, challenging TPH's growth prospects.

Potential Outcomes: 40% growth if housing market strengthens; 30% correction from economic uncertainty; 30% range-bound trading due to high IV.

Trading Oracle: Deploy bull call spreads due to moderate bullish sentiment. Buy TPH $40 call and sell $45 call for March 2025. This strategy captures potential upward movement with limited risk, benefiting from expected IV decline.

February 01, 2025

Tri Pointe Homes Forecast

TPH Tri Pointe Homes

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TPH

KBH KB Home (0.93)

PHM PulteGroup (0.92)

ATI Allegheny (0.86)

EXR Extra Space Storage (0.85)

KO Coca-Cola (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TPH

TNK Teekay Tankers (-0.0)

EMR Emerson Electric (0.01)

HRL Hormel Foods (-0.01)

ROOT Root (0.01)

ON ON Semiconductor (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TPH

USAC USA Compression (-0.7)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.71)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.72)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.74)

SONY Sony Group Corporation (-0.75)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.