TROW Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TROW benefits from strategic ETF expansion, consistent dividends, and a flat options term structure, indicating market stability and potential recovery.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility on options and mean-reverting price patterns suggest persistent sector challenges and potential for continued underperformance.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 60% Mean reverting price stability.
  • 25% ETF sector growth fuels bullish trend.
  • 15% Continued sector challenges impede progress.



July 05, 2025


T. Rowe Price Forecast

TROW        T. Rowe Price











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TROW



VAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAC  Marriott Vacations Worldwide (0.94)


PTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTC  PTC (0.91)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.91)


CODI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CODI  Compass Diversified (0.9)


MIDU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MIDU  Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3x Shares (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TROW



BYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYD  Boyd Gaming (0.0)


BXSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BXSL  Blackstone Secured Lending Fund. (0.0)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (-0.01)


SYK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SYK  Stryker (-0.01)


CRESY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRESY  Cresud (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TROW



FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.69)


CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBOE  Cboe Global Markets (-0.71)


GFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GFI  Gold Fields (-0.74)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (-0.75)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.78)









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