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TS Forecast



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Tenaris S.A. (TS) demonstrates strong potential for growth as indicated by low implied volatility and positive sentiment, driven by stable global oil demand and strong earnings potential.



Bearish Case: Caution arises due to high volatility levels reflected in options, suggesting potential market uncertainty that could lead to sharp declines in TS's price if macroeconomic factors worsen.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Price increases by 10% due to strong demand (+35%).


2. Price holds steady as market stabilizes (+50%).


3. Price drops 15% linked to geopolitical risks (+15%).



Trading Oracle: Consider executing a bullish debit spread by buying TS $37.50 calls and selling $40.00 calls. With a favorable risk/reward ratio and current low implied volatility, this strategy enhances potential for significant upside with manageable risk.


December 20, 2024


Tenaris S.A. Forecast

TS        Tenaris S.A.

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