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TSLA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TSLA's options data shows high call volume and implied volatility spike, suggesting potential bullish sentiment. Strong demand for new products may drive price increases.

Bearish Case: Volatility is historically high, indicating market uncertainty. Production issues and heightened competition may cap upward momentum.

Potential Outcomes: Continued strong demand (40%).
Production challenges impact growth (30%).
Competition erodes market share (30%).

Trading Oracle: Given TSLA's elevated implied volatility and call volume, consider a bullish debit spread targeting strikes between $410-$420, expiring in 1-2 months. This position captures potential upward momentum while maintaining a favorable risk-reward profile amidst volatile conditions.

January 07, 2025

Tesla Forecast

TSLA Tesla

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TSLA

TVTX Travere Therapeutics (0.9)

REPL Replimune (0.86)

ALKT Alkami Technology (0.85)

CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide (0.82)

MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports Corp - (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TSLA

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.0)

DNN Denison Mines (0.0)

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.01)

SU Suncor Energy (0.02)

CWH Camping World (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TSLA

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.81)

NEP NextEra Energy (-0.82)

CNI Canadian National Railway (-0.82)

PSX Phillips 66 (-0.82)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.83)

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