TWLO Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Twilio’s AI integrations and institutional interest bolster growth prospects. Call options trading higher indicates bullish momentum.




Bearish Case: Persisting profitability issues and market volatility, alongside high valuation concerns, threaten negative stock movement.




Potential Outcomes: AI leveraging continues (65%), facing profitability challenges again (60%), broader market trends impact (55%).




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread. Buy the $113 call and sell the $114 call expiring in ~18 days. This trades higher implied volatility, aiming for 790% potential return with high edge. Focus on AI positive impact.



December 31, 2024


Twilio Forecast

TWLO        Twilio











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TWLO



SNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNX  TD Synnex (0.0)


ABCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABCL  AbCellera Biologics (-0.01)


QSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QSR  Restaurant Brands International (0.01)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TWLO



TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (-0.63)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.68)


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ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.75)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.77)









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