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UFCS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: UFCS shows strong potential for a mean-reversion based recovery, supported by historical price action and insider confidence. The current price undervaluation, indicated by a P/B ratio below 1, augments this bullish case.

Bearish Case: The persistent high implied volatility and predominantly negative historical returns suggest significant downside risks. Coupled with operational and strategic uncertainties, this indicates potential for continued price decline.

Potential Outcomes: Price recovery (30%): Mean-reversion and insider confidence.
Continued decline (45%): High volatility and negative sentiment.
Stagnation (25%): Mixed signals and strategic uncertainties.

April 20, 2025

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UFCS United Fire

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UFCS

CXW CoreCivic (0.86)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (0.81)

GRAB Grab Holdings Limited (0.79)

DAVE Dave (0.79)

ASAN Asana (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UFCS

GKOS Glaukos (-0.0)

AA Alcoa (0.01)

ZBH Zimmer Biomet (-0.01)

LU Lufax Holding Ltd (0.03)

BA Boeing (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UFCS

BAH Booz Allen Hamilton (-0.73)

COLD Americold Realty (-0.76)

UWMC UWM Holdings Corporation (-0.77)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (-0.77)

MFA MFA Financial (-0.78)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.