UPST Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Upstart’s AI-driven expansion and strategic partnerships offer a compelling growth trajectory, enhanced by recent outperforming earnings and high call option volume.




Bearish Case: Macroeconomic headwinds, regulatory scrutiny, and elevated competition create significant obstacles, reflected in high implied volatility and market skepticism.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% - AI adoption and partnerships create upward momentum.

2. 40% - Economic pressures and volatility cause decline.

3. 20% - Mixed results lead to stagnation.




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May 17, 2025


Upstart Forecast

UPST        Upstart











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UPST



PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (0.94)


SYF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SYF  Synchrony Financial (0.92)


RCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCL  Royal Caribbean (0.92)


BLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLK  Blackrock (0.92)


BYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYD  Boyd Gaming (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UPST



BEPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEPC  Brookfield Renewable (-0.0)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (0.01)


ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (0.01)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.01)


SAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAM  Boston Beer Co. (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UPST



XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (-0.68)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.69)


HII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HII  Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.72)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.73)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.78)









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