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UPST Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Upstart's AI-driven model continues to disrupt lending, with sustained growth and numerous strategic partnerships. Increased call volume suggests positive sentiment.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility reflects uncertainty, with persistent macroeconomic pressures and competition hindering growth. Stock volatility concerns remain significant.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of growth from AI innovation; 35% chance of decline due to economic pressures; 25% chance of fluctuating performance amid market uncertainties.

Trading Oracle: Trade bullish debit spreads for March 2025. Focus on high implied volatility and recent positive momentum. Consider the 70/75 call spread to benefit from potential upside and volatility reduction. Monitor economic news closely for adjustments.

January 31, 2025

Upstart Forecast

UPST Upstart

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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VTWO Vanguard Russell 2000 Index (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UPST

PATH UiPath (0.0)

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (0.0)

FLNC Fluence Energy (-0.0)

VERV Verve Therapeutics (0.0)

RMBS Rambus (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UPST

HRTX Heron Therapeutics (-0.86)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.86)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.87)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.87)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.