USCI Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: USCI shows strong upward return likelihood in historical data. Low implied volatility suggests price growth potential supported by stable commodity demand.




Bearish Case: Rising geopolitical tensions and potential Fed rate hikes could strengthen USD, pressuring commodities. Elevated implied volatility indicates downside risks.




Potential Outcomes: Fed policy shifts (30%), US-China tensions (30%), stable economic recovery (40%) could impact USCI—balancing potential support and pressure on prices.




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January 01, 2025


United States Commodity Funds Forecast

USCI        United States Commodity Funds











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USCI



MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (0.82)


APO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APO  Apollo (0.8)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (0.8)


NRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NRG  NRG Energy (0.78)


DB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DB  Deutsche (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USCI



ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (0.0)


YELP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YELP  Yelp (-0.01)


DQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DQ  Daqo New Energy (0.01)


WHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHR  Whirlpool (-0.01)


HIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIVE  HIVE Blockchain (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USCI



SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.71)


NTLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTLA  Intellia Therapeutics (-0.73)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (-0.82)


CNXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNXC  Concentrix (-0.83)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.83)









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