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AI UST Forecast

Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish

Bullish Case: The UST markets could experience rising demand due to anticipated economic slowdowns and potential Fed rate cuts, leading to increased investor confidence and higher prices.

Bearish Case: Regulatory risks and market uncertainty may escalate, undermining trust in UST and resulting in lower prices as traders flee to safer assets.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic stabilization with a 65% chance could boost UST.

2. Legal developments with a 70% chance may weaken UST demand.

3. Increased market volatility with a 50% chance could lead to price drops.

Trading Oracle: Initiate a long volatility position through a debit spread using UST 45.00/46.00 Calls, capitalizing on high implied volatility. Favor a bullish outlook as upcoming rate cuts likely support prices. Monitor time decay closely.

September 11, 2024


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