VAC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: VAC could benefit from travel sector's ongoing recovery and strategic expansions, driving demand and potential price resurgence despite historical challenges.




Bearish Case: High debt levels, recent volatility, and macroeconomic threats may hinder VAC's growth, with mean-reverting tendencies overshadowing potential upside.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 45% chance of moderate recovery with travel growth.
  • 35% possibility of further decline due to economic headwinds.
  • 20% potential for stagnant trading on sustained volatility.




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May 21, 2025


Marriott Vacations Worldwide Forecast

VAC        Marriott Vacations Worldwide











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VAC



CODI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CODI  Compass Diversified (0.85)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.84)


FUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FUN  Cedar Fair (0.81)


CRGY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRGY  Crescent Energy Company - (0.8)


DECK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DECK  Deckers Outdoor (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VAC



GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.0)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.0)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.01)


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (-0.01)


BMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMO  Bank of Montreal (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VAC



SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (-0.56)


GFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GFI  Gold Fields (-0.58)


NGG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGG  National Grid (-0.7)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.76)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.79)









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