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VMI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: VMI exhibits strong growth potential with solid fundamentals and substantial investor interest in the infrastructure sector, supported by a historical mean-reverting price action and bullish option volume skew.

Bearish Case: High market-wide volatility and rising material costs could suppress VMI's performance. Elevated implied volatility for puts indicates market concerns, especially under potential economic pressures.

Potential Outcomes: Continued growth due to infrastructure demand (60%).
Market volatility leads to price declines (30%).
Sideways movement from mean reversion (10%).

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by buying VMI 320.00 Call and selling VMI 330.00 Call, expiring in 1 month. The current backwardation and implied volatility support potential upward moves, aligning with option volume skew. Target a 20% profit.

February 15, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VMI

CRS Carpenter Technology (0.95)

GLW Corning (0.94)

VV Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Large Cap (0.93)

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.93)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VMI

CRC California Resources (-0.01)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.03)

ESTC Elastic (0.03)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.05)

RMBS Rambus (-0.05)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VMI

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.86)

CNI Canadian National Railway (-0.88)

WU Western Union (-0.88)

GES Guess (-0.88)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.