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AI VRDN Forecast + Trading Strategies


Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish

Bullish Case: Positive Phase 3 trial results expected in September 2024 could boost confidence and stock price significantly, potentially driving VRDN back toward $20 within months.

Bearish Case: Continued cash burn and unresolved funding challenges may lead to further dilution or negative market sentiment, risking a drop below $12 as investor caution increases.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Positive trial results (30%);

2) Acquisition or partnership announced (20%);

3) Funding issues worsen, driving further declines (50%).

Trading Oracle: Consider establishing a diagonal calendar spread using VRDN call options with strikes at $15 and $20, maximizing the theta decay as volatility decreases post-trial results. Timeframe: 1-3 months. This strategy capitalizes on implied volatility while balancing risk, targeting potential gains from trial outcomes.

August 28, 2024


Viridian Therapeutics Forecast

VRDN      Viridian Therapeutics

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VRDN


ARKG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKG  ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (0.89)


KNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KNX  Knight-Swift Transportation (0.89)


LGIH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LGIH  LGI Homes (0.88)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.87)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VRDN


CAG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAG  Conagra Brands (-0.0)


CRDO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRDO  CRDO (0.0)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.0)


CDNS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CDNS  Cadence Design Systems (0.0)


CM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CM  Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VRDN


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (-0.68)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.69)


SPXU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXU  ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.73)


FUTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FUTU  Futu (-0.74)


AR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AR  Antero Resources (-0.74)



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